Jaylen Warren
PIT vs. INDFloor8.4
Median12.7
Ceiling14.9
Recent PPG: 12.4
Recent volume: 22.0
Snap share: 94%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 10, 2026, 1:57 PM EDT
Jaylen Warren or Michael Wilson: who should I start?
Jaylen Warren has the narrow Week 5 lean over Michael Wilson. The Half PPR projection is 12.7 to 11.9.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
PIT vs. INDOpen player file →
Michael Wilson
ARI vs. DETFloor6.6
Median11.9
Ceiling18.8
Recent PPG: 11.1
Recent volume: 15.0
Snap share: 94%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Jaylen Warren
2.2-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Jaylen Warren
PIT vs. IND- Floor
- 7.3
- Projection
- 11.2
- Ceiling
- 13.7
Other option
Michael Wilson
ARI vs. DET- Floor
- 4.6
- Projection
- 9.0
- Ceiling
- 16.0
Half PPR
Start Jaylen Warren — close call
0.8-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Jaylen Warren
PIT vs. IND- Floor
- 8.4
- Projection
- 12.7
- Ceiling
- 14.9
Other option
Michael Wilson
ARI vs. DET- Floor
- 6.6
- Projection
- 11.9
- Ceiling
- 18.8
PPR
Start Michael Wilson — close call
0.7-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Jaylen Warren
PIT vs. IND- Floor
- 9.9
- Projection
- 14.2
- Ceiling
- 16.3
Recommended start
Michael Wilson
ARI vs. DET- Floor
- 8.6
- Projection
- 14.9
- Ceiling
- 22.4
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two viable FLEX options with similar weekly projections, compared through recent opportunity, scoring format, matchup and current availability.
Jaylen Warren: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Michael Wilson: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup helps.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 4 final result
Jaylen Warren scored more. The pregame lean was right.
Jaylen Warren: 14.1 Half PPR · Michael Wilson: 13.0 Half PPR.