Jared Goff
DET vs. MINFloor15.1
Median18.4
Ceiling23.0
Recent PPG: 21.7
Recent volume: 32.5
Snap share: 98%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 8 lineup decision · updated Nov 2, 2026, 8:34 AM EST
Jared Goff or Trevor Lawrence: who should I start?
Start Trevor Lawrence over Jared Goff in Week 8. The Half PPR projection is 22.0 to 18.4.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
DET vs. MINOpen player file →
Trevor Lawrence
JAX vs. INDFloor17.2
Median22.0
Ceiling25.0
Recent PPG: 20.5
Recent volume: 43.0
Snap share: 100%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 8 projection by format.
Standard
Start Trevor Lawrence
3.6-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Jared Goff
DET vs. MIN- Floor
- 15.1
- Projection
- 18.4
- Ceiling
- 23.0
Recommended start
Trevor Lawrence
JAX vs. IND- Floor
- 17.2
- Projection
- 22.0
- Ceiling
- 25.0
Half PPR
Start Trevor Lawrence
3.6-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Jared Goff
DET vs. MIN- Floor
- 15.1
- Projection
- 18.4
- Ceiling
- 23.0
Recommended start
Trevor Lawrence
JAX vs. IND- Floor
- 17.2
- Projection
- 22.0
- Ceiling
- 25.0
PPR
Start Trevor Lawrence
3.6-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Jared Goff
DET vs. MIN- Floor
- 15.1
- Projection
- 18.4
- Ceiling
- 23.0
Recommended start
Trevor Lawrence
JAX vs. IND- Floor
- 17.2
- Projection
- 22.0
- Ceiling
- 24.9
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
A custom QB decision using recorded scoring, recent opportunity, opponent, and current-week availability.
Jared Goff: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is tougher. Trevor Lawrence: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 8 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 8 final result
Trevor Lawrence scored more. The pregame lean was right.
Jared Goff: 9.0 Half PPR · Trevor Lawrence: 19.4 Half PPR.
More Week 8 decisions