Ja'Marr Chase
CIN vs. BALFloor12.4
Median16.1
Ceiling20.0
Recent PPG: 16.1
Recent volume: 6.5
Snap share: 55%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 7 lineup decision · updated Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT
Ja'Marr Chase or Jonathan Taylor: who should I start?
Jonathan Taylor has the narrow Week 7 lean over Ja'Marr Chase. The Half PPR projection is 16.2 to 16.1.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
CIN vs. BALOpen player file →
Jonathan Taylor
IND vs. MINFloor9.1
Median16.2
Ceiling21.9
Recent PPG: 15.1
Recent volume: 22.0
Snap share: 76%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 7 projection by format.
Standard
Start Jonathan Taylor
2.5-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Ja'Marr Chase
CIN vs. BAL- Floor
- 8.0
- Projection
- 12.6
- Ceiling
- 15.5
Recommended start
Jonathan Taylor
IND vs. MIN- Floor
- 7.7
- Projection
- 15.1
- Ceiling
- 21.2
Half PPR
Start Jonathan Taylor — close call
0.1-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Ja'Marr Chase
CIN vs. BAL- Floor
- 12.4
- Projection
- 16.1
- Ceiling
- 20.0
Recommended start
Jonathan Taylor
IND vs. MIN- Floor
- 9.1
- Projection
- 16.2
- Ceiling
- 21.9
PPR
Start Ja'Marr Chase
2.2-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Ja'Marr Chase
CIN vs. BAL- Floor
- 15.2
- Projection
- 19.5
- Ceiling
- 24.6
Other option
Jonathan Taylor
IND vs. MIN- Floor
- 10.4
- Projection
- 17.3
- Ceiling
- 22.6
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two viable FLEX options with similar weekly projections, compared through recent opportunity, scoring format, matchup and current availability.
Ja'Marr Chase: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup helps. Jonathan Taylor: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 7 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
More Week 7 decisions
Keep working through the close calls.
FLEX · Close callJonathan Taylor over Amon-Ra St. Brown16.2–15.3 Half PPR →FLEX · 3.9-point leanJa'Marr Chase over Ashton Jeanty16.1–12.2 Half PPR →FLEX · 4.4-point leanJa'Marr Chase over Bhayshul Tuten16.1–11.7 Half PPR →FLEX · 1.0-point leanJa'Marr Chase over Brock Bowers16.1–15.1 Half PPR →FLEX · 1.1-point leanJonathan Taylor over Brock Bowers16.2–15.1 Half PPR →FLEX · 2.6-point leanJa'Marr Chase over Bucky Irving16.1–13.5 Half PPR →