Ashton Jeanty
LV vs. NEFloor7.5
Median14.1
Ceiling15.3
Recent PPG: 16.1
Recent volume: 22.5
Snap share: 76%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 7, 2026, 3:25 PM EDT
Ashton Jeanty or Ja'Marr Chase: who should I start?
Ashton Jeanty has the narrow Week 5 lean over Ja'Marr Chase. The Half PPR projection is 14.1 to 13.2.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
LV vs. NEOpen player file →
Ja'Marr Chase
CIN vs. MIAFloor12.0
Median13.2
Ceiling19.7
Recent PPG: 12.4
Recent volume: 7.5
Snap share: 60%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Ashton Jeanty
1.9-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Ashton Jeanty
LV vs. NE- Floor
- 5.3
- Projection
- 12.1
- Ceiling
- 13.9
Other option
Ja'Marr Chase
CIN vs. MIA- Floor
- 7.8
- Projection
- 10.2
- Ceiling
- 15.7
Half PPR
Start Ashton Jeanty — close call
0.9-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Ashton Jeanty
LV vs. NE- Floor
- 7.5
- Projection
- 14.1
- Ceiling
- 15.3
Other option
Ja'Marr Chase
CIN vs. MIA- Floor
- 12.0
- Projection
- 13.2
- Ceiling
- 19.7
PPR
Start Ashton Jeanty — close call
0.1-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Ashton Jeanty
LV vs. NE- Floor
- 9.0
- Projection
- 16.2
- Ceiling
- 18.2
Other option
Ja'Marr Chase
CIN vs. MIA- Floor
- 14.7
- Projection
- 16.1
- Ceiling
- 23.9
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two viable FLEX options with similar weekly projections, compared through recent opportunity, scoring format, matchup and current availability.
Ashton Jeanty: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is tougher. Ja'Marr Chase: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is neutral.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 4 final result
Ashton Jeanty scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
Ashton Jeanty: 15.6 Half PPR · Ja'Marr Chase: 4.2 Half PPR.