Ja'Marr Chase
CIN vs. MIAFloor12.0
Median13.2
Ceiling19.7
Recent PPG: 12.4
Recent volume: 7.5
Snap share: 60%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 7, 2026, 3:25 PM EDT
Ja'Marr Chase or Javonte Williams: who should I start?
Start Javonte Williams over Ja'Marr Chase in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 17.5 to 13.2.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
CIN vs. MIAOpen player file →
Javonte Williams
DAL vs. TBFloor9.4
Median17.5
Ceiling18.4
Recent PPG: 18.6
Recent volume: 23.0
Snap share: 75%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Javonte Williams
5.6-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Ja'Marr Chase
CIN vs. MIA- Floor
- 7.8
- Projection
- 10.2
- Ceiling
- 15.7
Recommended start
Javonte Williams
DAL vs. TB- Floor
- 8.9
- Projection
- 15.8
- Ceiling
- 17.8
Half PPR
Start Javonte Williams
4.3-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Ja'Marr Chase
CIN vs. MIA- Floor
- 12.0
- Projection
- 13.2
- Ceiling
- 19.7
Recommended start
Javonte Williams
DAL vs. TB- Floor
- 9.4
- Projection
- 17.5
- Ceiling
- 18.4
PPR
Start Javonte Williams
3.1-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Ja'Marr Chase
CIN vs. MIA- Floor
- 14.7
- Projection
- 16.1
- Ceiling
- 23.9
Recommended start
Javonte Williams
DAL vs. TB- Floor
- 10.3
- Projection
- 19.2
- Ceiling
- 19.3
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two viable FLEX options with similar weekly projections, compared through recent opportunity, scoring format, matchup and current availability.
Ja'Marr Chase: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Javonte Williams: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 4 final result
Javonte Williams scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
Ja'Marr Chase: 4.2 Half PPR · Javonte Williams: 28.8 Half PPR.