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Week 9 lineup decision · updated Nov 7, 2026, 1:07 PM EST

Ja'Marr Chase or Garrett Wilson: who should I start?

Start Ja'Marr Chase over Garrett Wilson in Week 9. The Half PPR projection is 16.6 to 0.0.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Start lean
Ja'Marr Chase in uniform on the sideline

Ja'Marr Chase

CIN vs. ATL
Floor13.2
Median16.6
Ceiling20.9

Recent PPG: 15.3

Recent volume: 11.5

Snap share: 92%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Photograph of Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson

NYJ vs. KC
Floor0.0
Median0.0
Ceiling0.0

Recent PPG: 10.3

Recent volume: 7.5

Snap share: 83%

Availability: Out

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Scoring changes the call

Week 9 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Ja'Marr Chase

13.0-point gapLow confidence
Recommended start

Ja'Marr Chase

CIN vs. ATL
Floor
8.7
Projection
13.0
Ceiling
16.7
Other option

Garrett Wilson

NYJ vs. KC
Floor
0.0
Projection
0.0
Ceiling
0.0
Half PPR

Start Ja'Marr Chase

16.6-point gapLow confidence
Recommended start

Ja'Marr Chase

CIN vs. ATL
Floor
13.2
Projection
16.6
Ceiling
20.9
Other option

Garrett Wilson

NYJ vs. KC
Floor
0.0
Projection
0.0
Ceiling
0.0
PPR

Start Ja'Marr Chase

20.2-point gapLow confidence
Recommended start

Ja'Marr Chase

CIN vs. ATL
Floor
16.2
Projection
20.2
Ceiling
25.2
Other option

Garrett Wilson

NYJ vs. KC
Floor
0.0
Projection
0.0
Ceiling
0.0

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

Their early-season Half PPR scoring is level, making targets, snaps, and opponent context decisive.

Ja'Marr Chase: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup helps. Garrett Wilson: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is tougher.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 9 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Week 8 final result

Ja'Marr Chase scored more. The pregame lean was right.

Ja'Marr Chase: 25.6 Half PPR · Garrett Wilson: 11.3 Half PPR.

More Week 9 decisions

Keep working through the close calls.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →