Ja'Marr Chase
CIN vs. PITFloor7.4
Median14.9
Ceiling20.4
Recent PPG: 12.6
Recent volume: 6.5
Snap share: 91%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 3 lineup decision · updated Sep 22, 2026, 8:07 PM EDT
Ja'Marr Chase or Garrett Wilson: who should I start?
Start Ja'Marr Chase over Garrett Wilson in Week 3. The Half PPR projection is 14.9 to 11.9.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
CIN vs. PITOpen player file →
Garrett Wilson
NYJ vs. DETFloor7.0
Median11.9
Ceiling15.4
Recent PPG: 12.6
Recent volume: 7.0
Snap share: 82%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 3 projection by format.
Standard
Start Ja'Marr Chase
2.2-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Ja'Marr Chase
CIN vs. PIT- Floor
- 4.9
- Projection
- 11.5
- Ceiling
- 16.2
Other option
Garrett Wilson
NYJ vs. DET- Floor
- 4.9
- Projection
- 9.3
- Ceiling
- 12.3
Half PPR
Start Ja'Marr Chase
3.0-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Ja'Marr Chase
CIN vs. PIT- Floor
- 7.4
- Projection
- 14.9
- Ceiling
- 20.4
Other option
Garrett Wilson
NYJ vs. DET- Floor
- 7.0
- Projection
- 11.9
- Ceiling
- 15.4
PPR
Start Ja'Marr Chase
3.8-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Ja'Marr Chase
CIN vs. PIT- Floor
- 9.9
- Projection
- 18.4
- Ceiling
- 25.0
Other option
Garrett Wilson
NYJ vs. DET- Floor
- 9.2
- Projection
- 14.6
- Ceiling
- 18.7
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Their early-season Half PPR scoring is level, making targets, snaps, and opponent context decisive.
Ja'Marr Chase: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup helps. Garrett Wilson: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup helps.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 3 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.