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Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 7, 2026, 3:25 PM EDT

CeeDee Lamb or Ja'Marr Chase: who should I start?

Start CeeDee Lamb over Ja'Marr Chase in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 20.2 to 13.2.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Start lean
Photograph of CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb

DAL vs. TB
Floor11.1
Median20.2
Ceiling20.2

Recent PPG: 23.4

Recent volume: 14.5

Snap share: 84%

Availability: Full Participation in Practice

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Ja'Marr Chase in uniform on the sideline

Ja'Marr Chase

CIN vs. MIA
Floor12.0
Median13.2
Ceiling19.7

Recent PPG: 12.4

Recent volume: 7.5

Snap share: 60%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Scoring changes the call

Week 5 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start CeeDee Lamb

5.9-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

CeeDee Lamb

DAL vs. TB
Floor
7.9
Projection
16.1
Ceiling
16.1
Other option

Ja'Marr Chase

CIN vs. MIA
Floor
7.8
Projection
10.2
Ceiling
15.7
Half PPR

Start CeeDee Lamb

7.0-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

CeeDee Lamb

DAL vs. TB
Floor
11.1
Projection
20.2
Ceiling
20.2
Other option

Ja'Marr Chase

CIN vs. MIA
Floor
12.0
Projection
13.2
Ceiling
19.7
PPR

Start CeeDee Lamb

8.3-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

CeeDee Lamb

DAL vs. TB
Floor
14.4
Projection
24.4
Ceiling
24.4
Other option

Ja'Marr Chase

CIN vs. MIA
Floor
14.7
Projection
16.1
Ceiling
23.9

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

Two relevant wide-receiver options in a similar weekly range, compared through targets, snap share, matchup and current availability.

CeeDee Lamb: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Ja'Marr Chase: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is neutral.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Week 4 final result

CeeDee Lamb scored more. The pregame lean was right.

CeeDee Lamb: 32.8 Half PPR · Ja'Marr Chase: 4.2 Half PPR.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →