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Week 8 lineup decision · updated Nov 2, 2026, 8:34 AM EST

George Pickens or Tetairoa McMillan: who should I start?

Tetairoa McMillan has the narrow Week 8 lean over George Pickens. The Half PPR projection is 12.9 to 12.4.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Photograph of George Pickens

George Pickens

DAL vs. ARI
Floor6.0
Median12.4
Ceiling14.2

Recent PPG: 14.0

Recent volume: 8.5

Snap share: 74%

Availability: Questionable

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Start lean
Photograph of Tetairoa McMillan

Tetairoa McMillan

CAR vs. GB
Floor6.3
Median12.9
Ceiling12.9

Recent PPG: 14.6

Recent volume: 7.5

Snap share: 72%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Scoring changes the call

Week 8 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Tetairoa McMillan — close call

0.2-point gapLow confidence
Other option

George Pickens

DAL vs. ARI
Floor
3.5
Projection
10.0
Ceiling
12.0
Recommended start

Tetairoa McMillan

CAR vs. GB
Floor
4.4
Projection
10.2
Ceiling
10.2
Half PPR

Start Tetairoa McMillan — close call

0.5-point gapLow confidence
Other option

George Pickens

DAL vs. ARI
Floor
6.0
Projection
12.4
Ceiling
14.2
Recommended start

Tetairoa McMillan

CAR vs. GB
Floor
6.3
Projection
12.9
Ceiling
12.9
PPR

Start Tetairoa McMillan — close call

0.7-point gapLow confidence
Other option

George Pickens

DAL vs. ARI
Floor
8.3
Projection
14.9
Ceiling
16.9
Recommended start

Tetairoa McMillan

CAR vs. GB
Floor
8.3
Projection
15.6
Ceiling
15.6

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

A custom WR decision using recorded scoring, recent opportunity, opponent, and current-week availability.

George Pickens: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral. Tetairoa McMillan: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is neutral.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 8 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Week 8 final result

Tetairoa McMillan scored more. The pregame lean was right.

George Pickens: 5.8 Half PPR · Tetairoa McMillan: 8.8 Half PPR.

More Week 8 decisions

Keep working through the close calls.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →