Garrett Wilson
NYJ vs. CLEFloor7.2
Median12.4
Ceiling16.6
Recent PPG: 12.7
Recent volume: 8.5
Snap share: 97%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 7, 2026, 3:25 PM EDT
Garrett Wilson or Tee Higgins: who should I start?
Start Tee Higgins over Garrett Wilson in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 14.0 to 12.4.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
NYJ vs. CLEOpen player file →
Tee Higgins
CIN vs. MIAFloor8.8
Median14.0
Ceiling18.8
Recent PPG: 14.7
Recent volume: 11.5
Snap share: 86%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Tee Higgins
1.8-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Garrett Wilson
NYJ vs. CLE- Floor
- 5.2
- Projection
- 9.5
- Ceiling
- 13.6
Recommended start
Tee Higgins
CIN vs. MIA- Floor
- 6.4
- Projection
- 11.3
- Ceiling
- 15.7
Half PPR
Start Tee Higgins
1.6-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Garrett Wilson
NYJ vs. CLE- Floor
- 7.2
- Projection
- 12.4
- Ceiling
- 16.6
Recommended start
Tee Higgins
CIN vs. MIA- Floor
- 8.8
- Projection
- 14.0
- Ceiling
- 18.8
PPR
Start Tee Higgins
1.6-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Garrett Wilson
NYJ vs. CLE- Floor
- 9.2
- Projection
- 15.2
- Ceiling
- 19.6
Recommended start
Tee Higgins
CIN vs. MIA- Floor
- 11.3
- Projection
- 16.8
- Ceiling
- 21.9
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two relevant wide-receiver options in a similar weekly range, compared through targets, snap share, matchup and current availability.
Garrett Wilson: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Tee Higgins: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 4 final result
Tee Higgins scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
Garrett Wilson: 4.2 Half PPR · Tee Higgins: 21.2 Half PPR.