Garrett Wilson
NYJ vs. CLEFloor7.2
Median12.4
Ceiling16.6
Recent PPG: 12.7
Recent volume: 8.5
Snap share: 97%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 7, 2026, 3:25 PM EDT
Garrett Wilson or Nico Collins: who should I start?
Start Nico Collins over Garrett Wilson in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 16.1 to 12.4.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
NYJ vs. CLEOpen player file →
Nico Collins
HOU vs. TENFloor9.9
Median16.1
Ceiling20.0
Recent PPG: 22.5
Recent volume: 9.0
Snap share: 71%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Nico Collins
3.8-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Garrett Wilson
NYJ vs. CLE- Floor
- 5.2
- Projection
- 9.5
- Ceiling
- 13.6
Recommended start
Nico Collins
HOU vs. TEN- Floor
- 7.5
- Projection
- 13.3
- Ceiling
- 16.2
Half PPR
Start Nico Collins
3.7-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Garrett Wilson
NYJ vs. CLE- Floor
- 7.2
- Projection
- 12.4
- Ceiling
- 16.6
Recommended start
Nico Collins
HOU vs. TEN- Floor
- 9.9
- Projection
- 16.1
- Ceiling
- 20.0
PPR
Start Nico Collins
3.7-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Garrett Wilson
NYJ vs. CLE- Floor
- 9.2
- Projection
- 15.2
- Ceiling
- 19.6
Recommended start
Nico Collins
HOU vs. TEN- Floor
- 11.9
- Projection
- 18.9
- Ceiling
- 23.5
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two relevant wide-receiver options in a similar weekly range, compared through targets, snap share, matchup and current availability.
Garrett Wilson: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Nico Collins: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup helps.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 4 final result
Nico Collins scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
Garrett Wilson: 4.2 Half PPR · Nico Collins: 27.3 Half PPR.