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Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 7, 2026, 3:25 PM EDT

Drake London or Trey McBride: who should I start?

Trey McBride has the narrow Week 5 lean over Drake London. The Half PPR projection is 14.2 to 13.9.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Photograph of Drake London

Drake London

ATL vs. BAL
Floor6.1
Median13.9
Ceiling22.4

Recent PPG: 11.9

Recent volume: 8.0

Snap share: 91%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Start lean
Photograph of Trey McBride

Trey McBride

ARI vs. DET
Floor11.7
Median14.2
Ceiling21.0

Recent PPG: 13.2

Recent volume: 11.5

Snap share: 94%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Scoring changes the call

Week 5 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Drake London — close call

0.8-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Drake London

ATL vs. BAL
Floor
4.3
Projection
11.1
Ceiling
18.5
Other option

Trey McBride

ARI vs. DET
Floor
7.4
Projection
10.3
Ceiling
16.4
Half PPR

Start Trey McBride — close call

0.3-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Drake London

ATL vs. BAL
Floor
6.1
Projection
13.9
Ceiling
22.4
Recommended start

Trey McBride

ARI vs. DET
Floor
11.7
Projection
14.2
Ceiling
21.0
PPR

Start Trey McBride

1.5-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Drake London

ATL vs. BAL
Floor
8.1
Projection
16.7
Ceiling
26.1
Recommended start

Trey McBride

ARI vs. DET
Floor
16.0
Projection
18.2
Ceiling
25.6

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

Two viable FLEX options with similar weekly projections, compared through recent opportunity, scoring format, matchup and current availability.

Drake London: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup helps. Trey McBride: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Week 4 final result

Drake London scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.

Drake London: 12.1 Half PPR · Trey McBride: 6.6 Half PPR.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →