Davante Adams
LAR vs. BUFFloor5.5
Median12.6
Ceiling17.0
Recent PPG: 15.5
Recent volume: 11.0
Snap share: 89%
Availability: Did not practice
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 10, 2026, 1:57 PM EDT
Davante Adams or Jaylen Warren: who should I start?
Jaylen Warren has the narrow Week 5 lean over Davante Adams. The Half PPR projection is 12.7 to 12.6.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
LAR vs. BUFOpen player file →
Jaylen Warren
PIT vs. INDFloor8.4
Median12.7
Ceiling14.9
Recent PPG: 12.4
Recent volume: 22.0
Snap share: 94%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Jaylen Warren — close call
0.8-point gapLow confidence
Other option
Davante Adams
LAR vs. BUF- Floor
- 4.7
- Projection
- 10.4
- Ceiling
- 15.2
Recommended start
Jaylen Warren
PIT vs. IND- Floor
- 7.3
- Projection
- 11.2
- Ceiling
- 13.7
Half PPR
Start Jaylen Warren — close call
0.1-point gapLow confidence
Other option
Davante Adams
LAR vs. BUF- Floor
- 5.5
- Projection
- 12.6
- Ceiling
- 17.0
Recommended start
Jaylen Warren
PIT vs. IND- Floor
- 8.4
- Projection
- 12.7
- Ceiling
- 14.9
PPR
Start Davante Adams — close call
0.5-point gapLow confidence
Recommended start
Davante Adams
LAR vs. BUF- Floor
- 6.6
- Projection
- 14.7
- Ceiling
- 18.8
Other option
Jaylen Warren
PIT vs. IND- Floor
- 9.9
- Projection
- 14.2
- Ceiling
- 16.3
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two viable FLEX options with similar weekly projections, compared through recent opportunity, scoring format, matchup and current availability.
Davante Adams: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is tougher. Jaylen Warren: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 4 final result
Jaylen Warren scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
Davante Adams: 5.2 Half PPR · Jaylen Warren: 14.1 Half PPR.