Dak Prescott
DAL vs. ARIFloor14.5
Median17.4
Ceiling23.7
Recent PPG: 16.3
Recent volume: 42.5
Snap share: 100%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 8 lineup decision · updated Nov 2, 2026, 8:34 AM EST
Dak Prescott or Matthew Stafford: who should I start?
Matthew Stafford has the narrow Week 8 lean over Dak Prescott. The Half PPR projection is 18.0 to 17.4.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
DAL vs. ARIOpen player file →
Matthew Stafford
LAR vs. LACFloor12.3
Median18.0
Ceiling25.1
Recent PPG: 17.9
Recent volume: 32.5
Snap share: 100%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 8 projection by format.
Standard
Start Matthew Stafford — close call
0.6-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Dak Prescott
DAL vs. ARI- Floor
- 14.5
- Projection
- 17.4
- Ceiling
- 23.7
Recommended start
Matthew Stafford
LAR vs. LAC- Floor
- 12.3
- Projection
- 18.0
- Ceiling
- 25.1
Half PPR
Start Matthew Stafford — close call
0.6-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Dak Prescott
DAL vs. ARI- Floor
- 14.5
- Projection
- 17.4
- Ceiling
- 23.7
Recommended start
Matthew Stafford
LAR vs. LAC- Floor
- 12.3
- Projection
- 18.0
- Ceiling
- 25.1
PPR
Start Matthew Stafford — close call
0.6-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Dak Prescott
DAL vs. ARI- Floor
- 14.4
- Projection
- 17.4
- Ceiling
- 23.7
Recommended start
Matthew Stafford
LAR vs. LAC- Floor
- 12.3
- Projection
- 18.0
- Ceiling
- 25.1
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
A custom QB decision using recorded scoring, recent opportunity, opponent, and current-week availability.
Dak Prescott: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Matthew Stafford: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is tougher.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 8 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 8 final result
Dak Prescott scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
Dak Prescott: 19.8 Half PPR · Matthew Stafford: 8.3 Half PPR.
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