Christian McCaffrey
SF vs. ATLFloor14.5
Median20.6
Ceiling26.6
Recent PPG: 19.0
Recent volume: 20.0
Snap share: 84%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 7 lineup decision · updated Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT
Christian McCaffrey or Jaxon Smith-Njigba: who should I start?
Start Christian McCaffrey over Jaxon Smith-Njigba in Week 7. The Half PPR projection is 20.6 to 19.2.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
SF vs. ATLOpen player file →
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA vs. KCFloor14.0
Median19.2
Ceiling22.7
Recent PPG: 20.1
Recent volume: 12.0
Snap share: 88%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 7 projection by format.
Standard
Start Christian McCaffrey
2.7-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Christian McCaffrey
SF vs. ATL- Floor
- 12.4
- Projection
- 18.0
- Ceiling
- 22.7
Other option
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA vs. KC- Floor
- 10.5
- Projection
- 15.3
- Ceiling
- 18.8
Half PPR
Start Christian McCaffrey
1.4-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Christian McCaffrey
SF vs. ATL- Floor
- 14.5
- Projection
- 20.6
- Ceiling
- 26.6
Other option
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA vs. KC- Floor
- 14.0
- Projection
- 19.2
- Ceiling
- 22.7
PPR
Start Christian McCaffrey — close call
0.1-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Christian McCaffrey
SF vs. ATL- Floor
- 16.2
- Projection
- 23.2
- Ceiling
- 29.3
Other option
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA vs. KC- Floor
- 17.8
- Projection
- 23.1
- Ceiling
- 26.7
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two viable FLEX options with similar weekly projections, compared through recent opportunity, scoring format, matchup and current availability.
Christian McCaffrey: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral. Jaxon Smith-Njigba: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is tougher.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 7 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 6 final result
Christian McCaffrey scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
Christian McCaffrey: 26.2 Half PPR · Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 19.4 Half PPR.
More Week 7 decisions
Keep working through the close calls.
FLEX · 5.3-point leanChristian McCaffrey over Amon-Ra St. Brown20.6–15.3 Half PPR →FLEX · Close callBijan Robinson over Jaxon Smith-Njigba20.1–19.2 Half PPR →FLEX · 5.5-point leanChristian McCaffrey over Brock Bowers20.6–15.1 Half PPR →FLEX · 6.2-point leanChristian McCaffrey over CeeDee Lamb20.6–14.4 Half PPR →FLEX · 7.5-point leanChristian McCaffrey over Chris Olave20.6–13.1 Half PPR →FLEX · 6.6-point leanChristian McCaffrey over Christian Watson20.6–14.0 Half PPR →