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Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 7, 2026, 3:25 PM EDT

Breece Hall or DeVonta Smith: who should I start?

Breece Hall has the narrow Week 5 lean over DeVonta Smith. The Half PPR projection is 12.2 to 11.6.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Start lean
Photograph of Breece Hall

Breece Hall

NYJ vs. CLE
Floor6.7
Median12.2
Ceiling16.2

Recent PPG: 12.5

Recent volume: 18.5

Snap share: 56%

Availability: No current-week designation

Open player file →
Photograph of DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith

PHI vs. JAX
Floor6.8
Median11.6
Ceiling14.2

Recent PPG: 13.0

Recent volume: 10.5

Snap share: 94%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Scoring changes the call

Week 5 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Breece Hall

2.1-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Breece Hall

NYJ vs. CLE
Floor
5.8
Projection
10.8
Ceiling
14.5
Other option

DeVonta Smith

PHI vs. JAX
Floor
5.0
Projection
8.7
Ceiling
10.9
Half PPR

Start Breece Hall — close call

0.6-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Breece Hall

NYJ vs. CLE
Floor
6.7
Projection
12.2
Ceiling
16.2
Other option

DeVonta Smith

PHI vs. JAX
Floor
6.8
Projection
11.6
Ceiling
14.2
PPR

Start DeVonta Smith — close call

0.8-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Breece Hall

NYJ vs. CLE
Floor
8.0
Projection
13.6
Ceiling
17.8
Recommended start

DeVonta Smith

PHI vs. JAX
Floor
8.4
Projection
14.4
Ceiling
17.1

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

Two viable FLEX options with similar weekly projections, compared through recent opportunity, scoring format, matchup and current availability.

Breece Hall: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral. DeVonta Smith: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →