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Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 7, 2026, 3:25 PM EDT

Ashton Jeanty or Puka Nacua: who should I start?

Start Puka Nacua over Ashton Jeanty in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 17.8 to 14.1.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Ashton Jeanty carrying the football in 2025

Ashton Jeanty

LV vs. NE
Floor7.5
Median14.1
Ceiling15.3

Recent PPG: 16.1

Recent volume: 22.5

Snap share: 76%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Start lean
Photograph of Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua

LAR vs. BUF
Floor12.4
Median17.8
Ceiling22.8

Recent PPG: 16.6

Recent volume: 10.5

Snap share: 80%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Scoring changes the call

Week 5 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Puka Nacua

1.8-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Ashton Jeanty

LV vs. NE
Floor
5.3
Projection
12.1
Ceiling
13.9
Recommended start

Puka Nacua

LAR vs. BUF
Floor
9.0
Projection
13.9
Ceiling
18.4
Half PPR

Start Puka Nacua

3.7-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Ashton Jeanty

LV vs. NE
Floor
7.5
Projection
14.1
Ceiling
15.3
Recommended start

Puka Nacua

LAR vs. BUF
Floor
12.4
Projection
17.8
Ceiling
22.8
PPR

Start Puka Nacua

5.4-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Ashton Jeanty

LV vs. NE
Floor
9.0
Projection
16.2
Ceiling
18.2
Recommended start

Puka Nacua

LAR vs. BUF
Floor
15.1
Projection
21.6
Ceiling
27.3

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

Two viable FLEX options with similar weekly projections, compared through recent opportunity, scoring format, matchup and current availability.

Ashton Jeanty: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is tougher. Puka Nacua: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is tougher.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Week 4 final result

Puka Nacua scored more. The pregame lean was right.

Ashton Jeanty: 15.6 Half PPR · Puka Nacua: 23.2 Half PPR.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →