Away
28San Francisco 49ers
- Record
- 6-1
- FTT rating
- +3.6
- Listed QB
- Purdy
NFL Week 10 · Sunday, Nov 15 · 4:25 PM ET
49ers vs. Cowboys prediction.
San Francisco 49ers is the FTT straight-up pick at 62% model probability. The projected score is SF 28, DAL 24.
Market snapshot: Nov 4, 2026, 8:35 PM EST. Pregame numbers freeze at kickoff and do not move after the result.
Home
24Dallas Cowboys
- Record
- 3-5
- FTT rating
- -1.9
- Listed QB
- Prescott
Model vs. market
The pick, spread and total in one view.
| Market | Listed number | FTT number | FTT lean | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | DAL 36% market | DAL 38% model | San Francisco 49ers -205 | 2.7 points |
| Spread | DAL +3.5 | DAL +4 | Pass | 0.5 points |
| Total | O/U 53.5 | 51.5 | Under 53.5 | 2.0 points |
Why the model landed here
Strength, scoring, site and rest.
San Francisco 49ers entered Week 10 at 6-1 with a +8.3 point differential per game. Dallas Cowboys entered at 3-5 and +0.8 per game.
Dallas Cowboys receives the model's 1.5-point home-field adjustment. The rest difference is even.
The scoring projection regresses both teams' current points scored and allowed toward their prior-season baselines. The opponent-adjusted rating caps individual game margins at 28 points so one blowout cannot dominate the board.
On the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward, these rules finished 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals. The ATS and totals results were effectively coin flips.
Who will win 49ers vs. Cowboys?
The FTT model picks San Francisco 49ers. Its projected score is SF 28, DAL 24.
What is the 49ers vs. Cowboys spread pick?
The model difference is under one point, so FTT passes at -3.5.
What is the 49ers vs. Cowboys over/under pick?
The model leans under 53.5, with a 2.0-point difference.
When were these odds captured?
The market snapshot was captured Nov 4, 2026, 8:35 PM EST. Odds can move, and FTT does not present the snapshot as a live sportsbook quote.