Away
24Pittsburgh Steelers
- Record
- 6-2
- FTT rating
- +5.2
- Listed QB
- Rodgers
NFL Week 10 · Sunday, Nov 15 · 8:20 PM ET
Steelers vs. Bengals prediction.
Pittsburgh Steelers is the FTT straight-up pick at 51% model probability. The projected score is PIT 24, CIN 23.
Market snapshot: Nov 4, 2026, 8:35 PM EST. Pregame numbers freeze at kickoff and do not move after the result.
Home
23Cincinnati Bengals
- Record
- 5-2
- FTT rating
- +3.8
- Listed QB
- Burrow
Model vs. market
The pick, spread and total in one view.
| Market | Listed number | FTT number | FTT lean | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | CIN 62% market | CIN 49% model | Pittsburgh Steelers +150 | 13.0 points |
| Spread | CIN -3.5 | CIN +0.5 | Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5 | 4.0 points |
| Total | O/U 47.5 | 47.2 | Pass | 0.3 points |
Why the model landed here
Strength, scoring, site and rest.
Pittsburgh Steelers entered Week 10 at 6-2 with a +4.5 point differential per game. Cincinnati Bengals entered at 5-2 and +6.9 per game.
Cincinnati Bengals receives the model's 1.5-point home-field adjustment. The rest difference is away by 7 days.
The scoring projection regresses both teams' current points scored and allowed toward their prior-season baselines. The opponent-adjusted rating caps individual game margins at 28 points so one blowout cannot dominate the board.
On the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward, these rules finished 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals. The ATS and totals results were effectively coin flips.
Who will win Steelers vs. Bengals?
The FTT model picks Pittsburgh Steelers. Its projected score is PIT 24, CIN 23.
What is the Steelers vs. Bengals spread pick?
The model leans Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5, with a 4.0-point difference from the listed spread.
What is the Steelers vs. Bengals over/under pick?
The model difference is under one point, so FTT passes on the 47.5 total.
When were these odds captured?
The market snapshot was captured Nov 4, 2026, 8:35 PM EST. Odds can move, and FTT does not present the snapshot as a live sportsbook quote.