Away
20Los Angeles Chargers
- Record
- 0-7
- FTT rating
- -7.2
- Listed QB
- Herbert
NFL Week 10 · Monday, Nov 16 · 8:15 PM ET
Chargers vs. Ravens prediction.
Baltimore Ravens is the FTT straight-up pick at 62% model probability. The projected score is LAC 20, BAL 24.
Market snapshot: Nov 4, 2026, 8:35 PM EST. Pregame numbers freeze at kickoff and do not move after the result.
Home
24Baltimore Ravens
- Record
- 4-4
- FTT rating
- -4.9
- Listed QB
- Huntley
Model vs. market
The pick, spread and total in one view.
| Market | Listed number | FTT number | FTT lean | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | BAL 52% market | BAL 62% model | Baltimore Ravens -120 | 10.1 points |
| Spread | BAL -1.5 | BAL -4.2 | Baltimore Ravens -1.5 | 2.7 points |
| Total | O/U 38.5 | 43.9 | Over 38.5 | 5.4 points |
Why the model landed here
Strength, scoring, site and rest.
Los Angeles Chargers entered Week 10 at 0-7 with a -10.9 point differential per game. Baltimore Ravens entered at 4-4 and -3.0 per game.
Baltimore Ravens receives the model's 1.5-point home-field adjustment. The rest difference is home by 3 days.
The scoring projection regresses both teams' current points scored and allowed toward their prior-season baselines. The opponent-adjusted rating caps individual game margins at 28 points so one blowout cannot dominate the board.
On the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward, these rules finished 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals. The ATS and totals results were effectively coin flips.
Who will win Chargers vs. Ravens?
The FTT model picks Baltimore Ravens. Its projected score is LAC 20, BAL 24.
What is the Chargers vs. Ravens spread pick?
The model leans Baltimore Ravens -1.5, with a 2.7-point difference from the listed spread.
What is the Chargers vs. Ravens over/under pick?
The model leans over 38.5, with a 5.4-point difference.
When were these odds captured?
The market snapshot was captured Nov 4, 2026, 8:35 PM EST. Odds can move, and FTT does not present the snapshot as a live sportsbook quote.