Away
30Jacksonville Jaguars
- Record
- 5-2
- FTT rating
- +9.5
- Listed QB
- Lawrence
NFL Week 10 · Sunday, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ET
Jaguars vs. Titans prediction.
Jacksonville Jaguars is the FTT straight-up pick at 89% model probability. The projected score is JAX 30, TEN 14.
Market snapshot: Nov 4, 2026, 8:35 PM EST. Pregame numbers freeze at kickoff and do not move after the result.
Home
14Tennessee Titans
- Record
- 1-7
- FTT rating
- -9.0
- Listed QB
- Ward
Model vs. market
The pick, spread and total in one view.
| Market | Listed number | FTT number | FTT lean | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | TEN 21% market | TEN 11% model | Jacksonville Jaguars -455 | 10.1 points |
| Spread | TEN +9.5 | TEN +16.4 | Jacksonville Jaguars -9.5 | 6.9 points |
| Total | O/U 45.5 | 44.2 | Under 45.5 | 1.3 points |
Why the model landed here
Strength, scoring, site and rest.
Jacksonville Jaguars entered Week 10 at 5-2 with a +12.1 point differential per game. Tennessee Titans entered at 1-7 and -6.9 per game.
Tennessee Titans receives the model's 1.5-point home-field adjustment. The rest difference is home by 4 days.
The scoring projection regresses both teams' current points scored and allowed toward their prior-season baselines. The opponent-adjusted rating caps individual game margins at 28 points so one blowout cannot dominate the board.
On the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward, these rules finished 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals. The ATS and totals results were effectively coin flips.
Who will win Jaguars vs. Titans?
The FTT model picks Jacksonville Jaguars. Its projected score is JAX 30, TEN 14.
What is the Jaguars vs. Titans spread pick?
The model leans Jacksonville Jaguars -9.5, with a 6.9-point difference from the listed spread.
What is the Jaguars vs. Titans over/under pick?
The model leans under 45.5, with a 1.3-point difference.
When were these odds captured?
The market snapshot was captured Nov 4, 2026, 8:35 PM EST. Odds can move, and FTT does not present the snapshot as a live sportsbook quote.