Away
24Carolina Panthers
- Record
- 3-4
- FTT rating
- -2.8
- Listed QB
- Young
NFL Week 10 · Sunday, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ET
Panthers vs. Saints prediction.
New Orleans Saints is the FTT straight-up pick at 52% model probability. The projected score is CAR 24, NO 25.
Market snapshot: Nov 4, 2026, 8:35 PM EST. Pregame numbers freeze at kickoff and do not move after the result.
Home
25New Orleans Saints
- Record
- 2-5
- FTT rating
- -3.5
- Listed QB
- Shough
Model vs. market
The pick, spread and total in one view.
| Market | Listed number | FTT number | FTT lean | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | NO 47% market | NO 52% model | New Orleans Saints +105 | 5.4 points |
| Spread | NO +1.5 | NO -0.7 | New Orleans Saints +1.5 | 2.2 points |
| Total | O/U 47.5 | 48.8 | Over 47.5 | 1.3 points |
Why the model landed here
Strength, scoring, site and rest.
Carolina Panthers entered Week 10 at 3-4 with a -2.1 point differential per game. New Orleans Saints entered at 2-5 and -4.6 per game.
New Orleans Saints receives the model's 1.5-point home-field adjustment. The rest difference is even.
The scoring projection regresses both teams' current points scored and allowed toward their prior-season baselines. The opponent-adjusted rating caps individual game margins at 28 points so one blowout cannot dominate the board.
On the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward, these rules finished 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals. The ATS and totals results were effectively coin flips.
Who will win Panthers vs. Saints?
The FTT model picks New Orleans Saints. Its projected score is CAR 24, NO 25.
What is the Panthers vs. Saints spread pick?
The model leans New Orleans Saints +1.5, with a 2.2-point difference from the listed spread.
What is the Panthers vs. Saints over/under pick?
The model leans over 47.5, with a 1.3-point difference.
When were these odds captured?
The market snapshot was captured Nov 4, 2026, 8:35 PM EST. Odds can move, and FTT does not present the snapshot as a live sportsbook quote.