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Week 9 lineup decision · updated Nov 7, 2026, 1:07 PM EST

Stefon Diggs or DK Metcalf: who should I start?

Stefon Diggs has the narrow Week 9 lean over DK Metcalf. The Half PPR projection is 8.3 to 7.9.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Start lean
Photograph of Stefon Diggs

Stefon Diggs

WAS vs. LAR
Floor4.8
Median8.3
Ceiling11.8

Recent PPG: 9.0

Recent volume: 6.5

Snap share: 63%

Availability: Did not practice

Open player file →
Photograph of DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf

PIT vs. TBD
Floor4.6
Median7.9
Ceiling11.8

Recent PPG: 6.5

Recent volume: 6.0

Snap share: 92%

Availability: No current-week designation

Open player file →
Scoring changes the call

Week 9 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Stefon Diggs — close call

0.3-point gapLow confidence
Recommended start

Stefon Diggs

WAS vs. LAR
Floor
2.9
Projection
6.2
Ceiling
9.2
Other option

DK Metcalf

PIT vs. TBD
Floor
3.0
Projection
5.9
Ceiling
9.1
Half PPR

Start Stefon Diggs — close call

0.4-point gapLow confidence
Recommended start

Stefon Diggs

WAS vs. LAR
Floor
4.8
Projection
8.3
Ceiling
11.8
Other option

DK Metcalf

PIT vs. TBD
Floor
4.6
Projection
7.9
Ceiling
11.8
PPR

Start Stefon Diggs — close call

0.3-point gapLow confidence
Recommended start

Stefon Diggs

WAS vs. LAR
Floor
6.2
Projection
10.3
Ceiling
14.6
Other option

DK Metcalf

PIT vs. TBD
Floor
6.2
Projection
10.0
Ceiling
14.0

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

A weekly WR2 decision comparing reception volume with a more vertical, touchdown-sensitive profile.

Stefon Diggs: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral. DK Metcalf: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is neutral.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 9 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Week 8 final result

Stefon Diggs scored more. The pregame lean was right.

Stefon Diggs: 11.3 Half PPR · DK Metcalf: 0.9 Half PPR.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →