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Week 3 lineup decision · updated Sep 22, 2026, 8:07 PM EDT

Stefon Diggs or DK Metcalf: who should I start?

Start Stefon Diggs over DK Metcalf in Week 3. The Half PPR projection is 11.9 to 9.0.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Start lean
Photograph of Stefon Diggs

Stefon Diggs

WAS vs. SEA
Floor5.5
Median11.9
Ceiling16.0

Recent PPG: 16.4

Recent volume: 7.5

Snap share: 57%

Availability: No current-week designation

Open player file →
Photograph of DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf

PIT vs. CIN
Floor5.8
Median9.0
Ceiling13.4

Recent PPG: 5.4

Recent volume: 9.5

Snap share: 97%

Availability: No current-week designation

Open player file →
Scoring changes the call

Week 3 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Stefon Diggs

2.4-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Stefon Diggs

WAS vs. SEA
Floor
4.0
Projection
9.5
Ceiling
12.2
Other option

DK Metcalf

PIT vs. CIN
Floor
3.9
Projection
7.1
Ceiling
11.6
Half PPR

Start Stefon Diggs

2.9-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Stefon Diggs

WAS vs. SEA
Floor
5.5
Projection
11.9
Ceiling
16.0
Other option

DK Metcalf

PIT vs. CIN
Floor
5.8
Projection
9.0
Ceiling
13.4
PPR

Start Stefon Diggs

3.4-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Stefon Diggs

WAS vs. SEA
Floor
7.0
Projection
14.4
Ceiling
20.3
Other option

DK Metcalf

PIT vs. CIN
Floor
7.7
Projection
11.0
Ceiling
15.1

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

A weekly WR2 decision comparing reception volume with a more vertical, touchdown-sensitive profile.

Stefon Diggs: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is tougher. DK Metcalf: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is tougher.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 3 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →