Nico Collins
HOU vs. TBDFloor7.5
Median11.7
Ceiling18.5
Recent PPG: 11.6
Recent volume: 5.0
Snap share: 70%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 8 lineup decision · updated Nov 2, 2026, 8:34 AM EST
Nico Collins or Tetairoa McMillan: who should I start?
Start Tetairoa McMillan over Nico Collins in Week 8. The Half PPR projection is 12.9 to 11.7.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
HOU vs. TBDOpen player file →
Tetairoa McMillan
CAR vs. GBFloor6.3
Median12.9
Ceiling12.9
Recent PPG: 14.6
Recent volume: 7.5
Snap share: 72%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 8 projection by format.
Standard
Start Tetairoa McMillan — close call
0.7-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Nico Collins
HOU vs. TBD- Floor
- 5.5
- Projection
- 9.5
- Ceiling
- 14.9
Recommended start
Tetairoa McMillan
CAR vs. GB- Floor
- 4.4
- Projection
- 10.2
- Ceiling
- 10.2
Half PPR
Start Tetairoa McMillan
1.2-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Nico Collins
HOU vs. TBD- Floor
- 7.5
- Projection
- 11.7
- Ceiling
- 18.5
Recommended start
Tetairoa McMillan
CAR vs. GB- Floor
- 6.3
- Projection
- 12.9
- Ceiling
- 12.9
PPR
Start Tetairoa McMillan
1.7-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Nico Collins
HOU vs. TBD- Floor
- 9.3
- Projection
- 13.9
- Ceiling
- 21.2
Recommended start
Tetairoa McMillan
CAR vs. GB- Floor
- 8.3
- Projection
- 15.6
- Ceiling
- 15.6
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
A custom WR decision using recorded scoring, recent opportunity, opponent, and current-week availability.
Nico Collins: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Tetairoa McMillan: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is neutral.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 8 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 7 final result
Tetairoa McMillan scored more. The pregame lean was right.
Nico Collins: 1.6 Half PPR · Tetairoa McMillan: 6.0 Half PPR.
More Week 8 decisions
Keep working through the close calls.
WR · Close callAmon-Ra St. Brown over Nico Collins12.5–11.7 Half PPR →WR · 4.0-point leanCeeDee Lamb over Nico Collins15.7–11.7 Half PPR →WR · 1.0-point leanTetairoa McMillan over Chris Olave12.9–11.9 Half PPR →WR · Close callNico Collins over Christian Watson11.7–11.5 Half PPR →WR · 1.4-point leanTetairoa McMillan over Christian Watson12.9–11.5 Half PPR →WR · 2.4-point leanDrake London over Nico Collins14.1–11.7 Half PPR →