Michael Wilson
ARI vs. DETFloor6.6
Median11.9
Ceiling18.8
Recent PPG: 11.1
Recent volume: 15.0
Snap share: 94%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 10, 2026, 1:57 PM EDT
Michael Wilson or Tee Higgins: who should I start?
Tee Higgins has the narrow Week 5 lean over Michael Wilson. The Half PPR projection is 12.3 to 11.9.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
ARI vs. DETOpen player file →
Tee Higgins
CIN vs. MIAFloor7.8
Median12.3
Ceiling16.6
Recent PPG: 14.7
Recent volume: 11.5
Snap share: 86%
Availability: Questionable
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Tee Higgins — close call
0.9-point gapLow confidence
Other option
Michael Wilson
ARI vs. DET- Floor
- 4.6
- Projection
- 9.0
- Ceiling
- 16.0
Recommended start
Tee Higgins
CIN vs. MIA- Floor
- 5.6
- Projection
- 9.9
- Ceiling
- 13.8
Half PPR
Start Tee Higgins — close call
0.4-point gapLow confidence
Other option
Michael Wilson
ARI vs. DET- Floor
- 6.6
- Projection
- 11.9
- Ceiling
- 18.8
Recommended start
Tee Higgins
CIN vs. MIA- Floor
- 7.8
- Projection
- 12.3
- Ceiling
- 16.6
PPR
Start Michael Wilson — close call
0.2-point gapLow confidence
Recommended start
Michael Wilson
ARI vs. DET- Floor
- 8.6
- Projection
- 14.9
- Ceiling
- 22.4
Other option
Tee Higgins
CIN vs. MIA- Floor
- 9.9
- Projection
- 14.7
- Ceiling
- 19.3
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two relevant wide-receiver options in a similar weekly range, compared through targets, snap share, matchup and current availability.
Michael Wilson: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup helps. Tee Higgins: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 4 final result
Tee Higgins scored more. The pregame lean was right.
Michael Wilson: 13.0 Half PPR · Tee Higgins: 21.2 Half PPR.