Kyler Murray
MIN vs. BUFFloor10.9
Median13.1
Ceiling15.0
Recent PPG: 15.9
Recent volume: 31.0
Snap share: 100%
Availability: Did not practice
Week 9 lineup decision · updated Nov 7, 2026, 1:07 PM EST
Kyler Murray or Sam Darnold: who should I start?
Start Kyler Murray over Sam Darnold in Week 9. The Half PPR projection is 13.1 to 0.0.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
MIN vs. BUFOpen player file →
Sam Darnold
SEA vs. ARIFloor0.0
Median0.0
Ceiling0.0
Recent PPG: 12.7
Recent volume: 33.0
Snap share: 100%
Availability: Out
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 9 projection by format.
Standard
Start Kyler Murray
13.1-point gapLow confidence
Recommended start
Kyler Murray
MIN vs. BUF- Floor
- 10.9
- Projection
- 13.1
- Ceiling
- 15.0
Other option
Sam Darnold
SEA vs. ARI- Floor
- 0.0
- Projection
- 0.0
- Ceiling
- 0.0
Half PPR
Start Kyler Murray
13.1-point gapLow confidence
Recommended start
Kyler Murray
MIN vs. BUF- Floor
- 10.9
- Projection
- 13.1
- Ceiling
- 15.0
Other option
Sam Darnold
SEA vs. ARI- Floor
- 0.0
- Projection
- 0.0
- Ceiling
- 0.0
PPR
Start Kyler Murray
13.1-point gapLow confidence
Recommended start
Kyler Murray
MIN vs. BUF- Floor
- 10.9
- Projection
- 13.1
- Ceiling
- 14.9
Other option
Sam Darnold
SEA vs. ARI- Floor
- 0.0
- Projection
- 0.0
- Ceiling
- 0.0
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
A close lower-QB1 decision shaped by current availability, rushing volume, and opponent context.
Kyler Murray: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is tougher. Sam Darnold: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 9 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 8 final result
Kyler Murray scored more. The pregame lean was right.
Kyler Murray: 19.9 Half PPR · Sam Darnold: 17.5 Half PPR.