Jaylen Waddle
DEN vs. LACFloor5.0
Median9.4
Ceiling15.9
Recent PPG: 9.0
Recent volume: 6.5
Snap share: 71%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 6, 2026, 3:00 PM EDT
Jaylen Waddle or Tee Higgins: who should I start?
Start Tee Higgins over Jaylen Waddle in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 14.0 to 9.4.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
DEN vs. LACOpen player file →
Tee Higgins
CIN vs. MIAFloor8.8
Median14.0
Ceiling18.8
Recent PPG: 14.7
Recent volume: 11.5
Snap share: 86%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Tee Higgins
3.9-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Jaylen Waddle
DEN vs. LAC- Floor
- 3.6
- Projection
- 7.4
- Ceiling
- 13.2
Recommended start
Tee Higgins
CIN vs. MIA- Floor
- 6.4
- Projection
- 11.3
- Ceiling
- 15.7
Half PPR
Start Tee Higgins
4.6-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Jaylen Waddle
DEN vs. LAC- Floor
- 5.0
- Projection
- 9.4
- Ceiling
- 15.9
Recommended start
Tee Higgins
CIN vs. MIA- Floor
- 8.8
- Projection
- 14.0
- Ceiling
- 18.8
PPR
Start Tee Higgins
5.3-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Jaylen Waddle
DEN vs. LAC- Floor
- 6.0
- Projection
- 11.5
- Ceiling
- 18.5
Recommended start
Tee Higgins
CIN vs. MIA- Floor
- 11.3
- Projection
- 16.8
- Ceiling
- 21.9
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
A near-even market decision where recent targets and matchup can break the tie.
Jaylen Waddle: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is tougher. Tee Higgins: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 4 final result
Tee Higgins scored more. The pregame lean was right.
Jaylen Waddle: 12.0 Half PPR · Tee Higgins: 21.2 Half PPR.