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Week 7 lineup decision · updated Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT

Jared Goff or Matthew Stafford: who should I start?

Start Jared Goff over Matthew Stafford in Week 7. The Half PPR projection is 21.2 to 20.1.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Start lean
Photograph of Jared Goff

Jared Goff

DET vs. GB
Floor15.7
Median21.2
Ceiling24.6

Recent PPG: 24.7

Recent volume: 41.5

Snap share: 98%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Photograph of Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford

LAR vs. LV
Floor13.2
Median20.1
Ceiling27.0

Recent PPG: 18.7

Recent volume: 43.5

Snap share: 100%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Scoring changes the call

Week 7 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Jared Goff

1.1-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Jared Goff

DET vs. GB
Floor
15.7
Projection
21.2
Ceiling
24.6
Other option

Matthew Stafford

LAR vs. LV
Floor
13.2
Projection
20.1
Ceiling
27.0
Half PPR

Start Jared Goff

1.1-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Jared Goff

DET vs. GB
Floor
15.7
Projection
21.2
Ceiling
24.6
Other option

Matthew Stafford

LAR vs. LV
Floor
13.2
Projection
20.1
Ceiling
27.0
PPR

Start Jared Goff

1.1-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Jared Goff

DET vs. GB
Floor
15.7
Projection
21.2
Ceiling
24.6
Other option

Matthew Stafford

LAR vs. LV
Floor
13.2
Projection
20.1
Ceiling
27.0

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

A custom QB decision using recorded scoring, recent opportunity, opponent, and current-week availability.

Jared Goff: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral. Matthew Stafford: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 7 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

More Week 7 decisions

Keep working through the close calls.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →