Harold Fannin
CLE vs. NYJFloor6.7
Median10.5
Ceiling13.1
Recent PPG: 10.5
Recent volume: 7.0
Snap share: 88%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 10, 2026, 1:57 PM EDT
Harold Fannin or Travis Kelce: who should I start?
Harold Fannin has the narrow Week 5 lean over Travis Kelce. The Half PPR projection is 10.5 to 10.0.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
CLE vs. NYJOpen player file →
Travis Kelce
KC vs. TBDFloor5.1
Median10.0
Ceiling12.5
Recent PPG: 11.2
Recent volume: 3.0
Snap share: 81%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Harold Fannin — close call
0.4-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Harold Fannin
CLE vs. NYJ- Floor
- 4.6
- Projection
- 8.3
- Ceiling
- 10.4
Other option
Travis Kelce
KC vs. TBD- Floor
- 3.0
- Projection
- 7.9
- Ceiling
- 10.5
Half PPR
Start Harold Fannin — close call
0.5-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Harold Fannin
CLE vs. NYJ- Floor
- 6.7
- Projection
- 10.5
- Ceiling
- 13.1
Other option
Travis Kelce
KC vs. TBD- Floor
- 5.1
- Projection
- 10.0
- Ceiling
- 12.5
PPR
Start Harold Fannin — close call
0.7-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Harold Fannin
CLE vs. NYJ- Floor
- 8.7
- Projection
- 12.7
- Ceiling
- 16.5
Other option
Travis Kelce
KC vs. TBD- Floor
- 7.1
- Projection
- 12.0
- Ceiling
- 13.9
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
A custom TE decision using recorded scoring, recent opportunity, opponent, and current-week availability.
Harold Fannin: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup helps. Travis Kelce: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is neutral.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 4 final result
Harold Fannin scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
Harold Fannin: 10.2 Half PPR · Travis Kelce: 2.5 Half PPR.
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