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Week 3 lineup decision · updated Sep 22, 2026, 8:07 PM EDT

Deebo Samuel or Tre Tucker: who should I start?

Start Deebo Samuel over Tre Tucker in Week 3. The Half PPR projection is 10.0 to 8.8.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Start lean
Photograph of Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel

SF vs. ARI
Floor4.4
Median10.0
Ceiling11.8

Recent PPG: 10.0

Recent volume: 5.5

Snap share: 51%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Photograph of Tre Tucker

Tre Tucker

LV vs. NO
Floor3.6
Median8.8
Ceiling8.8

Recent PPG: 12.0

Recent volume: 5.5

Snap share: 65%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Scoring changes the call

Week 3 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Deebo Samuel — close call

0.6-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Deebo Samuel

SF vs. ARI
Floor
2.8
Projection
7.8
Ceiling
9.8
Other option

Tre Tucker

LV vs. NO
Floor
2.6
Projection
7.2
Ceiling
7.2
Half PPR

Start Deebo Samuel

1.2-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Deebo Samuel

SF vs. ARI
Floor
4.4
Projection
10.0
Ceiling
11.8
Other option

Tre Tucker

LV vs. NO
Floor
3.6
Projection
8.8
Ceiling
8.8
PPR

Start Deebo Samuel

1.7-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Deebo Samuel

SF vs. ARI
Floor
6.2
Projection
12.2
Ceiling
14.0
Other option

Tre Tucker

LV vs. NO
Floor
4.9
Projection
10.5
Ceiling
10.5

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

Tucker's breakout production creates an upside-versus-established-role decision.

Deebo Samuel: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral. Tre Tucker: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 3 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →