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Week 3 lineup decision · updated Sep 22, 2026, 8:07 PM EDT

Dallas Goedert or Juwan Johnson: who should I start?

Start Dallas Goedert over Juwan Johnson in Week 3. The Half PPR projection is 9.8 to 8.7.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Start lean
Photograph of Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert

PHI vs. CHI
Floor3.5
Median9.8
Ceiling15.9

Recent PPG: 11.3

Recent volume: 3.5

Snap share: 60%

Availability: No current-week designation

Open player file →
Photograph of Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson

NO vs. LV
Floor5.2
Median8.7
Ceiling10.3

Recent PPG: 10.8

Recent volume: 5.5

Snap share: 69%

Availability: No current-week designation

Open player file →
Scoring changes the call

Week 3 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Dallas Goedert

1.4-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Dallas Goedert

PHI vs. CHI
Floor
2.5
Projection
8.1
Ceiling
14.2
Other option

Juwan Johnson

NO vs. LV
Floor
3.4
Projection
6.7
Ceiling
8.5
Half PPR

Start Dallas Goedert

1.1-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Dallas Goedert

PHI vs. CHI
Floor
3.5
Projection
9.8
Ceiling
15.9
Other option

Juwan Johnson

NO vs. LV
Floor
5.2
Projection
8.7
Ceiling
10.3
PPR

Start Dallas Goedert — close call

0.7-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Dallas Goedert

PHI vs. CHI
Floor
4.6
Projection
11.5
Ceiling
17.5
Other option

Juwan Johnson

NO vs. LV
Floor
6.7
Projection
10.8
Ceiling
12.4

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

A TE1-border decision where targets and reception scoring matter.

Dallas Goedert: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Juwan Johnson: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is tougher.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 3 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →