Dallas Goedert
PHI vs. JAXFloor3.5
Median10.1
Ceiling16.3
Recent PPG: 11.3
Recent volume: 3.5
Snap share: 60%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 6, 2026, 3:00 PM EDT
Dallas Goedert or Juwan Johnson: who should I start?
Juwan Johnson has the narrow Week 5 lean over Dallas Goedert. The Half PPR projection is 10.6 to 10.1.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
PHI vs. JAXOpen player file →
Juwan Johnson
NO vs. MINFloor6.2
Median10.6
Ceiling11.7
Recent PPG: 12.4
Recent volume: 8.0
Snap share: 70%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Dallas Goedert — close call
0.1-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Dallas Goedert
PHI vs. JAX- Floor
- 2.6
- Projection
- 8.3
- Ceiling
- 14.7
Other option
Juwan Johnson
NO vs. MIN- Floor
- 4.0
- Projection
- 8.2
- Ceiling
- 9.1
Half PPR
Start Juwan Johnson — close call
0.5-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Dallas Goedert
PHI vs. JAX- Floor
- 3.5
- Projection
- 10.1
- Ceiling
- 16.3
Recommended start
Juwan Johnson
NO vs. MIN- Floor
- 6.2
- Projection
- 10.6
- Ceiling
- 11.7
PPR
Start Juwan Johnson
1.2-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Dallas Goedert
PHI vs. JAX- Floor
- 4.7
- Projection
- 11.8
- Ceiling
- 17.9
Recommended start
Juwan Johnson
NO vs. MIN- Floor
- 8.5
- Projection
- 13.0
- Ceiling
- 13.6
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
A TE1-border decision where targets and reception scoring matter.
Dallas Goedert: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Juwan Johnson: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is tougher.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.