A.J. Brown
NE vs. LVFloor4.8
Median11.3
Ceiling15.1
Recent PPG: 4.1
Recent volume: 5.5
Snap share: 67%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 10, 2026, 1:57 PM EDT
A.J. Brown or Michael Wilson: who should I start?
Michael Wilson has the narrow Week 5 lean over A.J. Brown. The Half PPR projection is 11.9 to 11.3.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
NE vs. LVOpen player file →
Michael Wilson
ARI vs. DETFloor6.6
Median11.9
Ceiling18.8
Recent PPG: 11.1
Recent volume: 15.0
Snap share: 94%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Michael Wilson — close call
0.1-point gapMedium confidence
Other option
A.J. Brown
NE vs. LV- Floor
- 2.6
- Projection
- 8.9
- Ceiling
- 11.5
Recommended start
Michael Wilson
ARI vs. DET- Floor
- 4.6
- Projection
- 9.0
- Ceiling
- 16.0
Half PPR
Start Michael Wilson — close call
0.6-point gapMedium confidence
Other option
A.J. Brown
NE vs. LV- Floor
- 4.8
- Projection
- 11.3
- Ceiling
- 15.1
Recommended start
Michael Wilson
ARI vs. DET- Floor
- 6.6
- Projection
- 11.9
- Ceiling
- 18.8
PPR
Start Michael Wilson
1.1-point gapMedium confidence
Other option
A.J. Brown
NE vs. LV- Floor
- 7.0
- Projection
- 13.8
- Ceiling
- 19.1
Recommended start
Michael Wilson
ARI vs. DET- Floor
- 8.6
- Projection
- 14.9
- Ceiling
- 22.4
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two relevant wide-receiver options in a similar weekly range, compared through targets, snap share, matchup and current availability.
A.J. Brown: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Michael Wilson: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup helps.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.