Aaron Jones
MIN vs. TBFloor7.7
Median10.2
Ceiling10.8
Recent PPG: 10.3
Recent volume: 18.0
Snap share: 64%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 3 lineup decision · updated Sep 22, 2026, 8:07 PM EDT
Aaron Jones or Braelon Allen: who should I start?
Start Aaron Jones over Braelon Allen in Week 3. The Half PPR projection is 10.2 to 4.3.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
MIN vs. TBOpen player file →
Braelon Allen
NYJ vs. DETFloor1.1
Median4.3
Ceiling6.1
Recent PPG: 6.0
Recent volume: 8.5
Snap share: 36%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 3 projection by format.
Standard
Start Aaron Jones
5.3-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Aaron Jones
MIN vs. TB- Floor
- 6.4
- Projection
- 9.2
- Ceiling
- 10.4
Other option
Braelon Allen
NYJ vs. DET- Floor
- 1.0
- Projection
- 3.9
- Ceiling
- 5.4
Half PPR
Start Aaron Jones
5.9-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Aaron Jones
MIN vs. TB- Floor
- 7.7
- Projection
- 10.2
- Ceiling
- 10.8
Other option
Braelon Allen
NYJ vs. DET- Floor
- 1.1
- Projection
- 4.3
- Ceiling
- 6.1
PPR
Start Aaron Jones
6.6-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Aaron Jones
MIN vs. TB- Floor
- 8.7
- Projection
- 11.2
- Ceiling
- 12.3
Other option
Braelon Allen
NYJ vs. DET- Floor
- 1.1
- Projection
- 4.6
- Ceiling
- 6.9
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
A backfield-volume decision after Jones' snap and opportunity growth.
Aaron Jones: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Braelon Allen: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 3 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.