Aaron Jones
MIN vs. BUFFloor7.4
Median9.4
Ceiling12.0
Recent PPG: 10.0
Recent volume: 8.0
Snap share: 33%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 9 lineup decision · updated Nov 7, 2026, 1:07 PM EST
Aaron Jones or Braelon Allen: who should I start?
Start Braelon Allen over Aaron Jones in Week 9. The Half PPR projection is 11.8 to 9.4.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
MIN vs. BUFOpen player file →
Braelon Allen
NYJ vs. KCFloor2.4
Median11.8
Ceiling11.8
Recent PPG: 17.1
Recent volume: 23.5
Snap share: 81%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 9 projection by format.
Standard
Start Braelon Allen
2.5-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Aaron Jones
MIN vs. BUF- Floor
- 6.2
- Projection
- 8.2
- Ceiling
- 10.8
Recommended start
Braelon Allen
NYJ vs. KC- Floor
- 1.6
- Projection
- 10.7
- Ceiling
- 10.7
Half PPR
Start Braelon Allen
2.4-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Aaron Jones
MIN vs. BUF- Floor
- 7.4
- Projection
- 9.4
- Ceiling
- 12.0
Recommended start
Braelon Allen
NYJ vs. KC- Floor
- 2.4
- Projection
- 11.8
- Ceiling
- 11.8
PPR
Start Braelon Allen
2.3-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Aaron Jones
MIN vs. BUF- Floor
- 8.3
- Projection
- 10.6
- Ceiling
- 14.2
Recommended start
Braelon Allen
NYJ vs. KC- Floor
- 2.5
- Projection
- 12.9
- Ceiling
- 12.9
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
A backfield-volume decision after Jones' snap and opportunity growth.
Aaron Jones: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup helps. Braelon Allen: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is tougher.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 9 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 8 final result
Braelon Allen scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
Aaron Jones: 5.0 Half PPR · Braelon Allen: 22.3 Half PPR.