Away
20Tennessee Titans
- Record
- 1-7
- FTT rating
- -8.4
- Listed QB
- Ward
NFL Week 11 · Sunday, Nov 22 · 1:00 PM ET
Titans vs. Cowboys prediction.
Dallas Cowboys is the FTT straight-up pick at 74% model probability. The projected score is TEN 20, DAL 29.
Market snapshot: Nov 14, 2026, 8:01 PM EST. Pregame numbers freeze at kickoff and do not move after the result.
Home
29Dallas Cowboys
- Record
- 4-5
- FTT rating
- -1.3
- Listed QB
- Prescott
Model vs. market
The pick, spread and total in one view.
| Market | Listed number | FTT number | FTT lean | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | DAL 77% market | DAL 74% model | Dallas Cowboys -410 | 3.2 points |
| Spread | DAL -7.5 | DAL -8.6 | Dallas Cowboys -7.5 | 1.1 points |
| Total | O/U 51.5 | 49.1 | Under 51.5 | 2.4 points |
Why the model landed here
Strength, scoring, site and rest.
Tennessee Titans entered Week 11 at 1-7 with a -6.9 point differential per game. Dallas Cowboys entered at 4-5 and +1.1 per game.
Dallas Cowboys receives the model's 1.5-point home-field adjustment. The rest difference is even.
The scoring projection regresses both teams' current points scored and allowed toward their prior-season baselines. The opponent-adjusted rating caps individual game margins at 28 points so one blowout cannot dominate the board.
On the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward, these rules finished 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals. The ATS and totals results were effectively coin flips.
Who will win Titans vs. Cowboys?
The FTT model picks Dallas Cowboys. Its projected score is TEN 20, DAL 29.
What is the Titans vs. Cowboys spread pick?
The model leans Dallas Cowboys -7.5, with a 1.1-point difference from the listed spread.
What is the Titans vs. Cowboys over/under pick?
The model leans under 51.5, with a 2.4-point difference.
When were these odds captured?
The market snapshot was captured Nov 14, 2026, 8:01 PM EST. Odds can move, and FTT does not present the snapshot as a live sportsbook quote.