Away
26Pittsburgh Steelers
- Record
- 6-2
- FTT rating
- +4.6
- Listed QB
- Rodgers
NFL Week 11 · Sunday, Nov 22 · 4:25 PM ET
Steelers vs. Eagles prediction.
Pittsburgh Steelers is the FTT straight-up pick at 76% model probability. The projected score is PIT 26, PHI 16.
Market snapshot: Nov 14, 2026, 8:01 PM EST. Pregame numbers freeze at kickoff and do not move after the result.
Home
16Philadelphia Eagles
- Record
- 2-7
- FTT rating
- -7.2
- Listed QB
- III
Model vs. market
The pick, spread and total in one view.
| Market | Listed number | FTT number | FTT lean | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | PHI 36% market | PHI 24% model | Pittsburgh Steelers -198 | 12.8 points |
| Spread | PHI +4.5 | PHI +9.7 | Pittsburgh Steelers -4.5 | 5.2 points |
| Total | O/U 38.5 | 41.6 | Over 38.5 | 3.1 points |
Why the model landed here
Strength, scoring, site and rest.
Pittsburgh Steelers entered Week 11 at 6-2 with a +4.5 point differential per game. Philadelphia Eagles entered at 2-7 and -8.1 per game.
Philadelphia Eagles receives the model's 1.5-point home-field adjustment. The rest difference is home by 7 days.
The scoring projection regresses both teams' current points scored and allowed toward their prior-season baselines. The opponent-adjusted rating caps individual game margins at 28 points so one blowout cannot dominate the board.
On the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward, these rules finished 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals. The ATS and totals results were effectively coin flips.
Who will win Steelers vs. Eagles?
The FTT model picks Pittsburgh Steelers. Its projected score is PIT 26, PHI 16.
What is the Steelers vs. Eagles spread pick?
The model leans Pittsburgh Steelers -4.5, with a 5.2-point difference from the listed spread.
What is the Steelers vs. Eagles over/under pick?
The model leans over 38.5, with a 3.1-point difference.
When were these odds captured?
The market snapshot was captured Nov 14, 2026, 8:01 PM EST. Odds can move, and FTT does not present the snapshot as a live sportsbook quote.