Away
22Baltimore Ravens
- Record
- 4-5
- FTT rating
- -5.3
- Listed QB
- Huntley
NFL Week 11 · Sunday, Nov 22 · 1:00 PM ET
Ravens vs. Panthers prediction.
Carolina Panthers is the FTT straight-up pick at 62% model probability. The projected score is BAL 22, CAR 26.
Market snapshot: Nov 14, 2026, 8:01 PM EST. Pregame numbers freeze at kickoff and do not move after the result.
Home
26Carolina Panthers
- Record
- 3-5
- FTT rating
- -2.7
- Listed QB
- Young
Model vs. market
The pick, spread and total in one view.
| Market | Listed number | FTT number | FTT lean | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | CAR 53% market | CAR 62% model | Carolina Panthers -125 | 9.2 points |
| Spread | CAR -1.5 | CAR -4.3 | Carolina Panthers -1.5 | 2.8 points |
| Total | O/U 44.5 | 48.3 | Over 44.5 | 3.8 points |
Why the model landed here
Strength, scoring, site and rest.
Baltimore Ravens entered Week 11 at 4-5 with a -5.2 point differential per game. Carolina Panthers entered at 3-5 and -2.5 per game.
Carolina Panthers receives the model's 1.5-point home-field adjustment. The rest difference is home by 1 day.
The scoring projection regresses both teams' current points scored and allowed toward their prior-season baselines. The opponent-adjusted rating caps individual game margins at 28 points so one blowout cannot dominate the board.
On the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward, these rules finished 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals. The ATS and totals results were effectively coin flips.
Who will win Ravens vs. Panthers?
The FTT model picks Carolina Panthers. Its projected score is BAL 22, CAR 26.
What is the Ravens vs. Panthers spread pick?
The model leans Carolina Panthers -1.5, with a 2.8-point difference from the listed spread.
What is the Ravens vs. Panthers over/under pick?
The model leans over 44.5, with a 3.8-point difference.
When were these odds captured?
The market snapshot was captured Nov 14, 2026, 8:01 PM EST. Odds can move, and FTT does not present the snapshot as a live sportsbook quote.